https://dondrub3.com/tags/%E8%AE%A4%E7%9F%A5%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE/Recent content in 认知偏差 on Dondrub3 | 3P实验室Hugo -- 0.146.0zhThu, 12 Mar 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://dondrub3.com/posts/2026-03-12-oil-narrative-trap/Thu, 12 Mar 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://dondrub3.com/posts/2026-03-12-oil-narrative-trap/新闻高喊油价飙升，市场走势却未必线性。本文从认知偏差角度，拆解地缘冲突与价格反应之间的微妙关系，揭示叙事陷阱。https://dondrub3.com/posts/2026-02-22-tariff-psychology/Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:00:00 +0800https://dondrub3.com/posts/2026-02-22-tariff-psychology/美国最高法院裁定关税违宪，但政策调整面临巨大心理阻力。本文深度分析决策惯性、损失厌恶和群体极化如何影响国际政策调整。